Humans are notoriously bad at the three doors problem. [1] To most people it is intuitively obvious that once a door is eliminated their odds are 50-50 because there are two remaining doors. This is, unfortunately, wrong: you do twice as well to switch.
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Three doors problem
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Humans are notoriously bad at the three doors problem. [1] To most people it is intuitively obvious that once a door is eliminated their odds are 50-50 because there are two remaining doors. This is, unfortunately, wrong: you do twice as well to switch.